Introducing the EU exit index measuring each member state’s propensity to leave the European Union

Markus Gastinger

doi:10.1177/14651165211000138

Introducing the EU exit index measuring each member state’s propensity to leave the European Union

Markus Gastinger

Politikwissenschaft

Publikation: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift › Artikel › Peer-reviewed

Abstract

Which member states could leave the European Union in the years ahead? To answer this question, I develop the ‘EU Exit Index’ measuring the exit propensities of all European Union member states. The index highlights that the United Kingdom was an outlier and uniquely positioned to leave the European Union. While all other states are far behind the United Kingdom, the index still reveals substantial variation among them. Moreover, the index allows monitoring the development of exit propensities over time. It shows that the European Union is in better shape today than before the Brexit referendum and that, currently, no further exits are on the horizon. Still, this could change in the future and the EU Exit Index provides systematic and reproducible measurements to track this development.

Originalsprache	Englisch
Seiten (von - bis)	566-585
Seitenumfang	20
Fachzeitschrift	European Union Politics
Jahrgang	22
Ausgabenummer	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1177/14651165211000138
Publikationsstatus	Veröffentlicht - 1 Sept. 2021

Bibliographische Notiz

Funding Information:
For valuable comments on earlier drafts of this article, I am very grateful to three anonymous referees, Andreas D?r, Rachel Epstein, Jessica Fortin-Rittberger, Brigid Laffan, Craig Parsons, Dominik Schraff, Alasdair Young, and the participants of panel 11L at the EUSA Biennial Conference in Miami (4?6 May 2017). All remaining errors and inconsistencies are my own. The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This project has received funding from the European Union?s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sk?odowska-Curie grant agreement No. 840135.

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2021.

Systematik der Wissenschaftszweige 2012

506 Politikwissenschaften

Zugriff auf Dokument

10.1177/14651165211000138Lizenz: CC BY-NC

Andere Dateien und Links

1 Abgeschlossen

JBinBA: Joint Bodies in Bilateral Agreements
Gastinger, M. (Projektleitung)
1/10/19 → 30/09/22
Projekt: Forschung

1 Digitale oder visuelle Produkte
1 Sonstiger Beitrag

The EU Exit Index: Could any other countries leave the EU in the future?
Gastinger, M., Juni 2021, Paris Lodron Universität Salzburg.
Publikation: Andere Beiträge › Sonstiger Beitrag › Kommunikation
Introducing the EU Exit Index
Gastinger, M., 15 Apr. 2021
Publikation: Elektronische/multimediale Veröffentlichungen › Digitale oder visuelle Produkte › Transfer

Dieses zitieren

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Introducing the EU exit index measuring each member state’s propensity to leave the European Union

Abstract

Bibliographische Notiz

Systematik der Wissenschaftszweige 2012

Zugriff auf Dokument

Andere Dateien und Links

Projekte

JBinBA: Joint Bodies in Bilateral Agreements

Publikationen

The EU Exit Index: Could any other countries leave the EU in the future?

Introducing the EU Exit Index

Dieses zitieren